Jan Choinski vs Luka Mikrut Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve: Recently, Jan Choinski has been slightly better, securing 46.40% of second serve points compared to Luka Mikrut's 43.90%. Does this suggest an edge for Choinski? It could impact match predictions given the correlation of this stat with match outcomes.
• Return Game: Luka Mikrut shines here, winning 46.48% of opponents' second serve points, surpassing Choinski's 43.48%. However, on first serve returns, Choinski edges out slightly with 27.47% versus Mikrut's 25.53%. Which aspect seems crucial? The better return game on crucial points might favor Mikrut.
• Pressure Situations: Under pressure, Choinski shows a slight advantage by saving 55.13% of breakpoints compared to Mikrut’s 53.89%. Could this make a difference? In matches with close scorelines, it might tip the balance.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Mikrut has had a more successful overall match record, with a win rate of 74.07% compared to Choinski's 58.06%. Does this indicate Mikrut's general superiority? Possibly, suggesting stronger recent form.
• Surface Preference: Mikrut favors Hard surfaces, with a win percentage of 66%, while Choinski excels on Clay, with the same win percentage. Might surface preference play a role? Most likely, depending on the surface of the upcoming match.
• Match Level: Both players have excelled in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with Mikrut having a slightly higher win percentage at 68.18% compared to Choinski’s 62.07%. How does this affect predictions? Mikrut’s edge at this level may give him a slight nod.
• Opponents' Ranking: Choinski has faced tougher opponents, with an average rank of 247.19, compared to Mikrut's 405.31. Is playing against stronger opponents an advantage? This experience might better prepare Choinski for higher-level matches.
• Deciding Set: If the match reaches a deciding set, Choinski seems better equipped, having won 81% of deciding sets versus Mikrut's 58%. Could this be decisive? It certainly suggests Choinski's advantage in tight finishes.

Editorial Prediction (October 12, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the players' recent performances, Jan Choinski appears to have a slight upper hand with his superior second serve efficiency and ability to save breakpoints under pressure. Choinski’s experience against higher-ranked opponents and stronger deciding set record also suggest resilience in critical game moments.

Conversely, Luka Mikrut's stronger overall match record and return game present compelling arguments for his potential triumph. Particularly if the match plays out on a hard surface, Mikrut’s comfort could become advantageous.

Despite these factors, Choinski's demonstrated prowess in high-stakes moments, coupled with his recent form, leans the prediction towards him as the likely winner in this upcoming clash. Hence, based on available data, Jan Choinski is anticipated to emerge victorious in this match-up.